Grafton Group

Another earnings upgrade as outcome of strategic review awaited

  • Sectors : Builders Merchants
  • Companies : Grafton Group

Ratings and price correct at time of issue.

  • Grafton Group

    Closing Price: 1238p

  • RATING 07/10/20

  • PREVIOUS RATING 21/05/20

    NEUTRAL

DAVY VIEW

Our latest revision (an upgrade of 20%) leaves Grafton earnings estimates for 2021 29% above the start of year position. Even still, we prudently assume a slowdown from H2 after what will have been an extraordinary year to end-June. Alongside the impressive operational dynamism, there is the catalyst from the strategic review underway of the group’s traditional merchanting operations in Great Britain. A sale would probably increase net cash (ex-leases) to over £600m, which is around 20% of the current equity value. We believe the stock can continue to push on with valuation metrics, suggesting £14 is a credible aspiration.

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May 11 2021, 06:30 IST/BST

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