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Dec 2 2019, 08:10 GMT
Construction and Housebuilding
Euroconstruct more cautious on growth prospects for European construction in 2020
- Sectors : Construction and Housebuilding
- Companies : Bellway plc | Berkeley Group | Vistry Group | Breedon Group | Buzzi Unicem | Cairn Homes | CRH | Ferguson | Forterra plc | Geberit | Glenveagh Properties | Grafton Group | HeidelbergCement AG | Howden Joinery | Ibstock plc | Kingfisher | Kingspan Group | LafargeHolcim | Persimmon plc | Redrow plc | Saint-Gobain Group | SIG plc | Taylor Wimpey plc | Travis Perkins plc | Wienerberger | Abbey | Barratt Developments plc
Ratings
Ratings and price correct at time of issue
| Company | Rating | Date | Previous Rating | Date | Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | OUTPERFORM | 30/06/09 | N/A | N/A | 1370c |
| Barratt Developments plc | NEUTRAL | 24/03/14 | Outperform | 10/09/13 | 667p |
| Bellway plc | OUTPERFORM | 24/03/14 | Neutral | 10/09/13 | 3339p |
| Berkeley Group | UNDERPERFORM | 10/09/13 | Under Review | 21/05/13 | 4586p |
| Vistry Group | OUTPERFORM | 10/09/13 | Under Review | 21/05/13 | 1225p |
| Breedon Group | OUTPERFORM | 22/11/19 | Neutral | 25/10/17 | 69.6p |
| Buzzi Unicem | OUTPERFORM | 04/04/16 | Neutral | 05/08/15 | 2248c |
| Cairn Homes | OUTPERFORM | 26/08/15 | N/A | N/A | 120c |
| CRH | OUTPERFORM | 23/05/12 | Neutral | 12/01/12 | 3473c |
| Ferguson | NEUTRAL | 10/11/17 | N/A | N/A | 6722.0p |
| Forterra plc | NEUTRAL | 19/08/16 | N/A | N/A | 292p |
| Geberit | NEUTRAL | 08/05/14 | Underperform | 09/11/12 | 53680chf |
| Glenveagh Properties | OUTPERFORM | 10/11/17 | N/A | N/A | 80.0c |
| Grafton Group | OUTPERFORM | 15/12/15 | Neutral | 07/09/15 | 838p |
| HeidelbergCement AG | OUTPERFORM | 16/06/17 | Neutral | 05/02/14 | 6710c |
| Howden Joinery | NEUTRAL | 26/09/19 | Outperform | 29/01/15 | 631p |
| Ibstock plc | NEUTRAL | 04/08/17 | Outperform | 19/08/16 | 264p |
| Kingfisher | NEUTRAL | 20/08/18 | Outperform | 02/10/17 | 210p |
| Kingspan Group | OUTPERFORM | 12/05/11 | Neutral | 30/06/09 | 4892c |
| LafargeHolcim | NEUTRAL | 09/01/19 | Underperform | 17/11/15 | 5156chf |
| Persimmon plc | UNDERPERFORM | 10/09/13 | Under Review | 21/05/13 | 2558p |
| Redrow plc | NEUTRAL | 10/09/13 | Under Review | 21/05/13 | 661p |
| Saint-Gobain Group | NEUTRAL | 09/01/19 | Outperform | 07/09/15 | 3675c |
| SIG plc | NEUTRAL | 01/07/16 | Outperform | 15/12/15 | 125p |
| Taylor Wimpey plc | OUTPERFORM | 10/09/13 | Under Review | 21/05/13 | 174p |
| Travis Perkins plc | UNDERPERFORM | 01/07/16 | Neutral | 20/10/14 | 1540p |
| Wienerberger | OUTPERFORM | 09/05/18 | Neutral | 09/01/17 | 2490c |
DAVY VIEW
In Euroconstruct’s latest semi-annual review, there is a mixed outlook for European construction activity. It now expects volumes will have increased by 2.3% this year; back in June, a 1.9% expansion in 2019 was envisaged. However, for 2020, Euroconstruct is now forecasting volumes will rise 1.1%, down from a previous estimate of up 1.5%. The best-performing sector next year is expected to be infrastructure (+2.6%), while new residential activity is forecast to be flat. From a country perspective, Ireland is now anticipated to be the fastest growing construction market in Europe with growth of 6.3% predicted. Elsewhere, the outlook for construction in some of the important continental markets such as Germany (-0.6%), France (+0.4%) and the Netherlands (+0.5%) is very subdued for next year. However, there is more optimism in relation to the UK with construction volume growth now expected to improve to 1.4%.
