Banks

UK banks pass Bank of England stress test; CCyB to increase from 1% to 2%

  • Sectors : Banks
  • Companies : Bank of Ireland | Virgin Money UK | permanent tsb Group | RBS | Lloyds Banking Group | AIB Group

Ratings

Ratings and price correct at time of issue

Company Rating Date Previous Rating Date Closing Price
AIB Group OUTPERFORM 23/01/19 Neutral 14/08/18 330c
Bank of Ireland OUTPERFORM 11/03/13 Neutral 14/08/12 511c
Lloyds Banking Group OUTPERFORM 28/05/19 Neutral 14/02/18 67.3p
permanent tsb Group NEUTRAL 06/03/19 Outperform 01/08/18 109c
RBS NEUTRAL 11/02/19 N/A N/A 261p
Virgin Money UK NEUTRAL 17/12/19 Underperform 15/11/19 205p

DAVY VIEW

That all UK banks included in the 2019 Bank of England (BOE) stress test passed should not come as a surprise given the parameters were broadly the same as 2018. Increasing the countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) is a surprise, however, and will, in our opinion, constrain capital returns in the UK sector. It also negatively impacts both BOI and AIB, already facing the prospect of a systemic risk buffer. As a result, we increase our management target to 13.5% (from 13%) and 14% (from 13.5%) for BOI and AIB respectively.

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Dec 17 2019, 08:05 GMT

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