Economic
A surprising slowdown for US inflation in tariff-affected items
US consumer prices grew by less than expected in September, the much-anticipated data showed this afternoon. A widespread expectation was already for a cut to the Federal Funds...
Housing completions increase but still underwhelm in Q3
New dwelling completions increased modestly in Q3, owing to an underwhelming result for scheme houses. By contrast, single (one-off) houses grew strongly while apartments were close to...
Residential property prices to continue rising faster than 7%
The main Irish data releases this week include August residential property prices and monthly payrolls. We expect continued growth above 2% for payrolls and that residential property...
Why Budget 2026 will not overheat the Irish economy
In this report, we welcome the emphasis in Budget 2026 on infrastructure and housing given significant and well-documented shortfalls in these areas. We also find limited evidence that...
Flat transactions for new properties in July
Strong summer price trends continued in July, and we expect upward revisions to June could repeat. However, new property transactions were surprisingly weak in July; if this continues,...
Record employment in Q2 despite tariffs uncertainty
Despite widespread fears that tariff-driven uncertainty would lead to a notably weaker Irish economy, Q2 saw a record level of employment above 2.8m for the first time. The...
Residential property prices rise strongly again in June
Irish residential property prices grew strongly once again in June, in line with an established seasonal pattern. The volume of transactions has been boosted considerably this year by...
A new record month for corporation taxes in June
Corporation tax continued its year-to-date pattern of extreme volatility in June, more than compensating for weaker receipts in May. This augurs well for full-year 2025 receipts since...
Below-consensus inflation in September
While UK consumer price inflation remained high last month, it was softer than expected across a broad range of goods and services. This follows last week’s labour market data which...
UK economy tracking quite well despite Budget worries
Early Q3 indications point to a more resilient UK economy compared to last year, when Budget worries dragged activity lower. The government’s supply-side reforms could help to avoid...
Household spending adds to stronger UK economic growth
The UK economy grew faster than expected in H1, helped by household spending and business investment. However, despite a favourable productivity performance, official forecast...
UK inflation meets consensus in August
Headline UK inflation was unchanged in August, remaining at a year-on-year (yoy) increase of 3.8% and increasing in month-on-month (mom) terms by 0.3%. While core and services inflation...
