Economic
Tax data imply slower Q2 growth following a robust Q1
National accounts for Q1 and exchequer returns for May were published yesterday (Thursday June 5th). A surge in gross domestic product (GDP) and investment took place amid a huge...
European Central Bank poised to cut again this week
The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to cut interest rates again this week. This would bring the deposit rate to 2% just one year after it was 4% as its easing cycle...
FDI will remain an important part of Irish economic model
This week, we hosted a webinar on foreign direct investment (FDI) in Ireland. Ireland’s FDI-dependent economic model has come under scrutiny this year as a result of disruption to global...
Uncertainty hits Dublin property prices in March
A monthly decline in Dublin residential property prices for March is likely to capture much-increased uncertainty. However, prices outside Dublin accelerated, and revisions are always a...
Consumer spending enters 2025 on a strong footing
The Irish economy began 2025 in good shape. Tailwinds from strong labour demand have been helped along by lower interest rates and a decline in headline inflation, which remains the...
Expansionary Budgets add to a strong economy in 2024
The December Exchequer returns suggest strong economic activity in 2024, boosted by successive expansionary Budgets. Voted current and capital spending each grew faster than...
Transactions for new homes climb 26% in October
Residential property prices grew 9.7% in October, close to the double-digit rates seen in recent months. However, rapid increases in Q4 last year mean some reduction in headline growth...
Ireland’s Exchequer begins to receive back-taxes from Apple
While October is not a crucial month for the Irish Exchequer, volatility of recent years continued with a near-trebling of corporation tax. This was driven by the first arrival to the...
Services inflation rises back above 5% in April
As the Bank of England has long been pre-occupied with price changes for services, April’s 5.4% annual result will encourage a more hawkish direction for Bank Rate. Market pricing has...
Slower UK inflation paves the way for a rate cut in May
UK inflation declined to 2.6% in March. While still above target, the Bank of England is likely to take comfort from a slower path for services inflation compared to its latest forecast. A...
February GDP gains from a pre-tariff manufacturing boost
While growth in February’s GDP was well above expectations, this was driven by a pre-tariff manufacturing boost. Despite an otherwise hawkish backdrop, we now expect the Bank of...
Government banking on growth to avoid future welfare cuts
There were few surprises in the Spring Statement as weaker growth and higher borrowing costs limited the Chancellor’s scope for new policies. Well-flagged adjustments to last...
