Associated British Foods

Model update

We are cutting our adjusted EPS forecasts by c.3% and c.2% for FY26 and FY27 respectively. The recent strategic review, which could result in a separation of Primark from the Food...

CRH

Upgrading forecasts following strong Q3

Our forecasts are moving higher this morning following a strong Q3. At an adjusted EBITDA level, the estimates are 1% and 5% higher for FY25 and FY26 respectively. With short- and...

Irish banks

Banks monthly: NII inflection

Net interest income (NII) and underlying profitability inflection will now occur in 2025, a year earlier than anticipated. This demonstrates the resilience in the business models of AIB...

Bellway plc

Top pick in a sector that should outperform in 2026

Bellway has become laser-focused on asset turn and returns as the stuttering recovery in the UK new homes market continues. We now see the potential for the recovery to...

Ryanair Holdings

Record Q2, good outlook

Ryanair (RYA) produced a record Q2, ahead of Davy and sell-side estimates. We view the outlook statement as positive – RYA now expects to recover “all” of last year’s 7% full-year...

SigmaRoc plc

Updating forecasts

We have updated our SigmaRoc (SRC) forecasts and price target following its recent trading update. While the stock has performed strongly year-to-date (+63%), we see further upside...

Danone

Q3 update – strong volume growth continues

Q3 like-for-like (LFL) growth came in above consensus at +4.8% (VA: +4.3%), driven by further growth in volume/mix across all categories (+3.2%), with strong momentum into the final...

Kenmare

New forecasts with more conservative assumptions

We have published new forecasts on Kenmare. Due to macro trends, we assume lower price forecasts in 2026 onwards than indicated following the Q3 production report. Our price...

Irish banks

Banks monthly: looking ahead to Q3

The key themes in Q3 are unlikely to dramatically differ to those of H1 2025 and, in some areas (particularly on distributions), clarity is unlikely to be forthcoming. Nonetheless, we...

Bank of Ireland

Drawing a line under UK motor finance

The estimated provision increase for Bank of Ireland (BIRG) is larger than anticipated but remains manageable on capital. Based on our forecasts, the incremental provision (over and...