Banks

Regulatory clarity and political pressure on interest on payment breaks

  • Sectors : Banks
  • Companies : permanent tsb Group | AIB Group | Bank of Ireland

Ratings

Ratings and price correct at time of issue

Company Rating Date Previous Rating Date Closing Price
AIB Group OUTPERFORM 23/01/19 Neutral 14/08/18 117c
Bank of Ireland OUTPERFORM 11/03/13 Neutral 14/08/12 187c
permanent tsb Group NEUTRAL 06/03/19 Outperform 01/08/18 52.0c

DAVY VIEW

The European Banking Authority (EBA) clarification on the approach to interest for loan moratoria is useful, albeit the approach in Ireland has been clear — interest continues to accrue on a payment break. Political pressure is likely to persist from opposition parties, yet our analysis would indicate that the threshold set by the EBA would be problematic to meet, which would impact asset quality classification, provisions and risk weight intensity, and the borrower’s credit rating.

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Jul 8 2020, 08:00 IST/BST

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