Builders Merchants

Recovery delayed but valuations offer a solid foundation

Ratings

Ratings and price correct at time of issue

Company Rating Date Previous Rating Date Closing Price
Grafton Group OUTPERFORM 07/10/20 Neutral 21/05/20 906p
Kingspan Group OUTPERFORM 12/05/11 Neutral 30/06/09 6700c
Forterra plc NEUTRAL 19/08/16 N/A N/A 161p
Genuit Group NEUTRAL 05/11/21 N/A N/A 369p
Travis Perkins plc NEUTRAL 28/05/20 Underperform 01/07/16 694p
Howden Joinery OUTPERFORM 31/03/22 Neutral 26/09/19 775p
Ibstock plc OUTPERFORM 02/07/24 Neutral 04/08/17 170p
Marshalls NEUTRAL 10/11/21 N/A N/A 262p
Volution NEUTRAL 23/10/24 Outperform 31/03/21 532p
Stelrad Group plc OUTPERFORM 11/05/23 N/A N/A 141p

DAVY VIEW

The macro-outlook may be gloomy, but we think our lightside building materials coverage list offers some interesting options for 2025, especially after the weak start to the year. After the recent sell-off, valuations are by no means oppressive and indeed are increasingly pricing in a particularly pessimistic outlook. Admittedly, that most important of ingredients, positive earnings momentum, may remain elusive. However, we believe there is a range of potentially consequential company-specific catalysts that offer support to investment cases and can spark equity performance. Such is the extent of the recent sell-off that much of the coverage list offers substantial upside based on our price targets. For preference, we highlight Kingspan – where there is a credible pathway to a return to profit growth and at an attractive valuation – and Stelrad, which remains on a low multiple despite highly impressive operational and strategic progress.

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Jan 17 2025, 07:00 GMT

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